NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299a3468bf2409ebc398228fafed4c3b60ae5be2d92c66155d2a249676bd38cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 6,131$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 3,880$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.43 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 3,493$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…c6b7backed Under | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…265bbacked Over | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 57c | 1,545$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.27 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 1,089$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 942.67$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.07 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 55c | 794.49$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.52 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 747$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 660.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 625$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 54c | 523.81$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 410.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3067…b8e5backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 40.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5this page
- Bulls vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.