NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4bf41619937344e97e98a4f3a5db5536be66c03fba4d0d3ebd2126c095cc38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 52c | 182,344$94,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,525.12 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 175,549$84,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,308.38 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 19,257$9,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,515.68 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 13,947$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Under | 50c | 5,003$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…da08backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…1e31backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 1,531$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 1,520$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.29 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.77 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,157$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.68 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Under | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 807$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 701$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Under | 48c | 535$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 501$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…1e54backed Under | 52c | 375.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 264$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 52c | 227.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 147.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 84.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 52c | 31.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked Under | 48c | 24.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5this page
- Bulls vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.