NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f5ef163d9a539611f758c98bf1394599d475878df986a2a4ac505a9b1af543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Bulls, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Bulls | 48c | 75,470$36,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,455.46 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 51c | 51,299$26,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,994.66 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 49c | 36,963$18,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,153.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 50c | 13,464$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686.15 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pelicans | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.28 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 51c | 9,980$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 54c | 5,041$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,788$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.96 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bulls | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bulls | 50c | 2,590$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.9 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Bulls | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,980$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Pelicans | 51c | 972.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.17 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pelicans | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Bulls | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Bulls | 50c | 569.23$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bulls | 48c | 538.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.43 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Bulls | 49c | 529.59$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Bulls | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Bulls | 50c | 504.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 48c | 408.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Pelicans | 52c | 387.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Bulls | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Bulls | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Bulls | 28c | 245.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…fa79backed Bulls | 49c | 232$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Pelicans | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 213.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…a30ebacked Bulls | 49c | 181$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Bulls | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9435…e843backed Pelicans | 52c | 144$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…0963backed Pelicans | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…13febacked Pelicans | 52c | 132$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Bulls | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pelicans | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Bulls | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Bulls | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Bulls | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Bulls | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Bulls | 50c | 98.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Pelicans | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Bulls | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Bulls | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…699fbacked Bulls | 49c | 59.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 27c | 55.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 48c | 53.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Bulls | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Bulls | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Bulls | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Bulls | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Bulls | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Bulls | 52c | 38.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 51c | 32.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Pelicans | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Bulls | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…4368backed Bulls | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Bulls | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…71b9backed Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Pelicans | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)this page
- Bulls vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.