TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,744,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,928,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,744,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pelicans12c246,183$28,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,889.4472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans11c90,006$9,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,900.745815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans28c62,120$17,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,357.084,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans16c39,304$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,288.6237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pelicans25c32,338$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,14126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans21c31,288$6,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,415.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pelicans15c30,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans15c28,747$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.2572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans15c28,693$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans13c26,000$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,38039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Pelicans13c23,857$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.454742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf5…2fefbacked Pelicans0c23,777$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Pelicans6c20,400$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.2310941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans15c16,863$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.332,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c16,511$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans12c15,038$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.511,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans10c14,932$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.6546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Pelicans15c13,387$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.1611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Pelicans13c12,997$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.67946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Pelicans15c12,835$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.8211142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans12c12,639$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.641,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets78c12,597$9,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.481,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans18c12,354$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans1c10,160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.61,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans12c10,150$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2181,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Pelicans0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets73c9,452$6,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.091,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans14c8,992$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pelicans16c8,863$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.0817554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Pelicans1c8,674$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf65…127cbacked Pelicans14c8,503$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Nuggets77c7,776$6,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.4313558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets77c7,500$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans16c6,618$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Nuggets69c6,503$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.558744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pelicans16c6,444$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets78c6,140$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.542,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1946…e255backed Nuggets70c6,092$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Nuggets74c5,428$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.8750838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c5,354$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.048820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Pelicans15c5,200$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78056945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Pelicans12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans10c5,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcddd…166cbacked Nuggets80c4,467$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.286953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Pelicans11c4,444$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.845925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans15c4,440$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.891,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans28c4,426$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.1485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44016730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans15c3,942$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.282,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans11c3,717$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans1c3,716$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.167211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans12c3,600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans13c3,109$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.021,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans14c3,055$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.693,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Pelicans11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4e0…4510backed Pelicans12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans13c2,807$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.191,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Nuggets77c2,586$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans18c2,582$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nuggets76c2,570$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.741,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans11c2,533$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Nuggets70c2,509$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7524535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27534645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Nuggets76c2,384$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.515461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans11c2,375$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.391,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Nuggets68c2,300$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73411251.8%58 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans17c2,200$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08b…daa9backed Nuggets69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.914858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Nuggets70c2,154$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.49050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8403…e2ecbacked Pelicans12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Nuggets71c1,994$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.4323043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e5…7dd4backed Pelicans5c1,811$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.775850%29 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bcd…0aa5backed Pelicans25c1,795$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Nuggets71c1,780$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.16665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe153…c12cbacked Pelicans12c1,766$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Pelicans12c1,741$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.936854.4%37 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Nuggets78c1,680$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.86451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Pelicans11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16517931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans10c1,401$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Nuggets72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8920851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Nuggets74c1,355$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5517356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.951,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Nuggets76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7914639.7%58 W · 88 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Pelicans13c1,255$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1513743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pelicans13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15622055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Nuggets66c1,177$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0416943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198b…f2ecbacked Nuggets71c1,142$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.988356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans12c1,108$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Nuggets74c1,100$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2888846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Pelicans12c1,050$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8716139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc557…e530backed Pelicans24c1,022$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.816327%17 W · 46 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f4…c82cbacked Nuggets78c1,000$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.