NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e5ffe76e6bd4ea151b5a5dc487e2a0471371e375be890eba59779a0e43e34c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…dfb1backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…87fdbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 1,434$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Over | 53c | 1,181$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 53c | 1,147$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.81 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 49c | 799.97$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 52c | 662.92$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.72 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…3b12backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 53c | 625.53$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.53 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 593.88$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 525.88$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 397.28$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…d733backed Over | 57c | 357.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 238.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…5ac2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 52c | 194.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…b9adbacked Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 46c | 148.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 146.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Over | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…28e4backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 37c | 84.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 53c | 68.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 62.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…f908backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…d42cbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…3348backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Over | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Under | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…7c63backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 53c | 38.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 52c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 63c | 29.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 53c | 28.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 45c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Under | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…67e2backed Over | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.