NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe653f131fb15fe6f21c6c6fa6defff803f513789704844279704eacf71a9df3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Nuggets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 45c | 17,285$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,506.96 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans | 58c | 15,058$8,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.57 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 5,435$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,250$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,752$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.33 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 57c | 4,144$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.9 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.94 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,198$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.27 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,001$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.88 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 58c | 1,756$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…dfb1backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,488$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,454$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.05 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,036$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.83 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Nuggets | 44c | 961.36$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 52c | 845$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Nuggets | 50c | 673.02$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 651.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Nuggets | 54c | 599.86$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pelicans | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Nuggets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 491.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 490.21$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 45c | 481.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 52c | 463.84$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Nuggets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 384.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Nuggets | 50c | 347.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 311.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Nuggets | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 44c | 264.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Nuggets | 44c | 238.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Pelicans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Nuggets | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Pelicans | 56c | 197.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 185.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 46c | 171.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Nuggets | 55c | 158.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Nuggets | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pelicans | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 141.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 139$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 43c | 134.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 120.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Nuggets | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Nuggets | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 44c | 112.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…271bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Pelicans | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Nuggets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…d021backed Nuggets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Nuggets | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Nuggets | 55c | 90.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Pelicans | 47c | 80.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Nuggets | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Pelicans | 45c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Pelicans | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Nuggets | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 72.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Nuggets | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 55.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nuggets | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Nuggets | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…6bc8backed Nuggets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Nuggets | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Nuggets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Nuggets | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Nuggets | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pelicans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nuggets | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.