TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,281,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,435,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,281,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans19c485,550$91,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,606.378022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans19c306,662$59,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,451.5887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe6…abd4backed Pelicans17c266,579$44,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,480.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans17c47,891$8,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,032.775815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3db…0b3cbacked Pelicans8c41,240$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.821936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Pelicans18c30,200$5,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4367339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans1c23,647$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6616919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222e…0d53backed Pelicans1c21,784$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.132334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+110.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans5c21,654$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.235,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Pelicans18c14,108$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.481216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Pelicans18c13,762$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.158543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans17c13,735$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3352,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans14c12,000$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Pelicans17c10,604$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.114447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Pelicans1c9,923$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.733318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c9,816$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.768783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Pelicans8c9,341$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4617147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Pelicans18c9,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6204344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans6c8,258$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.421,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans8c7,943$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.21,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans6c7,264$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans1c7,012$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans2c6,359$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.571,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans17c5,859$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.612,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Pelicans18c5,703$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.511142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans1c4,664$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.421,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans8c4,664$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans16c4,514$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.553,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans16c4,500$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.9724330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans4c4,214$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.033,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Pelicans4c4,213$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans0c4,150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.357502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Pelicans18c3,601$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Pelicans14c3,514$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0911459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans16c3,451$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Pelicans2c3,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans17c3,211$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Pelicans19c3,007$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.375616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Pelicans11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf922…e9c7backed Pelicans19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.982030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans16c2,675$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.0647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans16c2,600$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9716730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans5c2,559$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1385344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Pelicans18c2,518$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.181637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans17c2,400$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans13c2,318$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.871,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Pelicans17c2,235$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.983951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans8c2,131$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.691,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Pelicans18c2,072$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.894755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pelicans17c2,035$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pelicans16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Pelicans19c1,842$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea6…80b0backed Pelicans18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Pelicans4c1,650$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5407.5%3 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c25…7633backed Pelicans11c1,591$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Pelicans18c1,500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Pelicans18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans16c1,467$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.021,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Pelicans14c1,414$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9817444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Pelicans15c1,399$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8719047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Pelicans16c1,386$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7515945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans7c1,322$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.545213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Pelicans18c1,182$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7424048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Pelicans9c1,118$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4448739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Pelicans18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005667.9%38 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Pelicans10c1,110$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065911.9%7 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3f…0a9bbacked Warriors80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…ce04backed Pelicans16c899.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Pelicans6c872.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5212545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…8b38backed Pelicans13c760$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.23026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeba6…2974backed Pelicans7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Warriors80c620$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12420839.4%82 W · 126 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Pelicans18c599.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f58…6af7backed Pelicans18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…72bebacked Pelicans18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans17c531.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e9…7cd8backed Pelicans19c526.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.972842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans17c514.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3924634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Pelicans20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Warriors80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001675%12 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Pelicans17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked Pelicans17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513359.4%79 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans15c499.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans17c499.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9925236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans17c492$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.641,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans17c442.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.332,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…d4ecbacked Pelicans16c435.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.47633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Pelicans19c429.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3d…f4fbbacked Pelicans10c410$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Pelicans19c394.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755635.7%20 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…0f88backed Pelicans19c378.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Pelicans6c370$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82931%9 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans17c353$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans18c350$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Pelicans17c329.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9928940.8%118 W · 171 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877e…d958backed Pelicans17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Pelicans16c297.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.399930.3%30 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Pelicans18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Pelicans19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.318955%104 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.