NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79879da457a867d208ef4aa83b0ba4709f7a86ffd169e394e49a49902fe8030b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,281,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,435,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,281,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 485,550$91,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,606.37 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 306,662$59,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,451.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…abd4backed Pelicans | 17c | 266,579$44,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,480.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans | 17c | 47,891$8,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,032.77 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Pelicans | 8c | 41,240$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 30,200$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans | 1c | 23,647$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…0d53backed Pelicans | 1c | 21,784$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 5c | 21,654$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Pelicans | 18c | 14,108$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pelicans | 18c | 13,762$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.15 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 17c | 13,735$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 14c | 12,000$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Pelicans | 17c | 10,604$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Pelicans | 1c | 9,923$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 9,816$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Pelicans | 8c | 9,341$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.46 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Pelicans | 18c | 9,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 6c | 8,258$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.42 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 8c | 7,943$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 6c | 7,264$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 1c | 7,012$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 2c | 6,359$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 17c | 5,859$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.61 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Pelicans | 18c | 5,703$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.5 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans | 1c | 4,664$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 8c | 4,664$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 16c | 4,514$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.55 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans | 16c | 4,500$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.97 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 4c | 4,214$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Pelicans | 4c | 4,213$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Pelicans | 18c | 3,601$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Pelicans | 14c | 3,514$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.09 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 16c | 3,451$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…6cf2backed Pelicans | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans | 17c | 3,211$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.87 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Pelicans | 19c | 3,007$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.37 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Pelicans | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Pelicans | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans | 16c | 2,675$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.06 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans | 16c | 2,600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.97 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans | 5c | 2,559$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Pelicans | 18c | 2,518$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans | 17c | 2,400$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 13c | 2,318$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Pelicans | 17c | 2,235$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 8c | 2,131$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Pelicans | 18c | 2,072$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Pelicans | 17c | 2,035$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pelicans | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,842$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…80b0backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Pelicans | 4c | 1,650$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…7633backed Pelicans | 11c | 1,591$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,467$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.02 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Pelicans | 14c | 1,414$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,399$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,386$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,322$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,182$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pelicans | 9c | 1,118$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,110$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3f…0a9bbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Pelicans | 16c | 899.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Pelicans | 6c | 872.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…8b38backed Pelicans | 13c | 760$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…2974backed Pelicans | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked Warriors | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Pelicans | 18c | 599.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f58…6af7backed Pelicans | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Pelicans | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans | 17c | 531.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…7cd8backed Pelicans | 19c | 526.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans | 17c | 514.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Pelicans | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Warriors | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Pelicans | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Pelicans | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans | 15c | 499.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans | 17c | 499.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 17c | 492$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 17c | 442.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked Pelicans | 16c | 435.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 429.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…f4fbbacked Pelicans | 10c | 410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Pelicans | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…0f88backed Pelicans | 19c | 378.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Pelicans | 6c | 370$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 17c | 353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pelicans | 17c | 329.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed Pelicans | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Pelicans | 16c | 297.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Pelicans | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Pelicans | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pelicansthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.