TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7e9…7cd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Space at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+254.9%+$505.26
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$174.01
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$83.06
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$47.38
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.89
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.94
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$122.11
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204.91
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$99.97
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.15
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$23.12
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.13
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.01
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.84
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.78
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.31
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$450.74
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$82.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$54.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.