TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks17c3,333$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sharks29c2,872$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Sharks64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Sharks30c2,000$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9425340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Golden Knights36c1,761$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.0813655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks3c1,603$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.787450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights70c1,500$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.41,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Sharks60c1,186$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.779747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Sharks1c1,064$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1414012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights71c1,000$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.191,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Sharks31c962.08$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.391136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks8c866.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Golden Knights57c866.02$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Sharks39c820.49$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32219438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks29c653.21$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Golden Knights52c641.11$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Sharks31c581.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.22725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Sharks30c531.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.456642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks30c493.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks50c492.92$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Sharks64c469.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.975648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Golden Knights61c461.5$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Sharks33c449.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9926547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Sharks62c398.22$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.162638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Golden Knights72c372.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Golden Knights44c352$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.587532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Golden Knights69c319.97$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.195750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Golden Knights41c303.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Golden Knights72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Sharks37c272.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Golden Knights63c269.66$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.495347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks32c254.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Golden Knights69c250$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.564742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Sharks19c241.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.738720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Golden Knights70c203.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.822373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Golden Knights44c202.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.518633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Sharks11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6327…3cdabacked Sharks31c192.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Sharks36c177.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8813241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Sharks58c176.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6572448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Golden Knights70c172.86$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.864158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Golden Knights39c169.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.262733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Sharks30c166$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Sharks30c166$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.819647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Sharks30c166$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sharks30c166$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.847249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Sharks30c166$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.811445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks49c162.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.121,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…6788backed Sharks31c143.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Golden Knights70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7e9…7cd8backed Golden Knights70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e00…25acbacked Golden Knights70c142.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Golden Knights71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Golden Knights72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Golden Knights69c137$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.476752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights68c129.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.551,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8c…b5afbacked Sharks32c129.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdde2…6f02backed Golden Knights70c128.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Golden Knights69c124.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.729554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf196…00fbbacked Sharks33c124.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.342236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb053…92c6backed Sharks31c119.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Golden Knights70c113.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.979665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Golden Knights69c110.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.271861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights69c109.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights56c104.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Sharks30c102.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.894245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Golden Knights40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2c…b94dbacked Sharks18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Golden Knights70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Golden Knights70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Sharks29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks30c99.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6363…5044backed Golden Knights71c97.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights63c94.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.153,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…9243backed Golden Knights70c92.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Golden Knights68c87.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.862572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Golden Knights71c76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.093066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed Golden Knights70c75.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Golden Knights70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Golden Knights68c70.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7219150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c39…458dbacked Golden Knights70c65.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Sharks32c61.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…d277backed Sharks31c57.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa612…717fbacked Golden Knights70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Sharks36c54.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab06…8823backed Sharks61c54.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3291…07a3backed Golden Knights70c53.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd0…e030backed Golden Knights68c51.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Golden Knights49c50.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Golden Knights40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305750.9%29 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Golden Knights60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02a…b26bbacked Golden Knights70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Golden Knights70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Golden Knights42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d1…8253backed Sharks31c47.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Golden Knights69c45.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Golden Knights69c44.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.693554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.