Ukraine · resolved market
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1346d763389455dac46a51e20c4cc25aecef5323f1701a440cc11d4c3f129e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,380,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,344,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,380,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bec…1664backed Yes | 1c | 174,999$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 138,884$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed Yes | 1c | 100,374$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9745…c819backed Yes | 5c | 96,635$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…21a5backed Yes | 5c | 96,048$5,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 93,049$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.29 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9c0dbacked Yes | 4c | 71,484$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked Yes | 3c | 58,359$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…0507backed Yes | 1c | 47,445$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 2c | 46,800$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.4 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…65fdbacked Yes | 3c | 45,102$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc2…de66backed Yes | 3c | 39,460$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 2c | 37,190$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +430.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…835abacked Yes | 1c | 34,600$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…dfacbacked Yes | 6c | 32,809$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…d7d3backed Yes | 2c | 31,402$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…3c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 31,178$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39e…567fbacked Yes | 4c | 29,851$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca4…8674backed Yes | 6c | 27,111$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…7e84backed Yes | 6c | 26,563$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…9226backed Yes | 0c | 26,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 2c | 25,921$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…aae5backed Yes | 1c | 24,617$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…bf9ebacked Yes | 1c | 23,977$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…6fcebacked Yes | 5c | 22,720$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 21,713$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.42 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 2c | 21,194$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…8ed0backed Yes | 7c | 21,182$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…9c34backed Yes | 5c | 20,801$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes | 2c | 20,771$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 20,643$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.57 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…77cdbacked Yes | 2c | 20,157$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 2c | 19,998$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 1c | 18,688$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 17,679$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.25 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 16,587$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.44 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 16,237$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.57 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 2c | 16,061$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…810ebacked Yes | 6c | 15,367$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f2…709abacked Yes | 1c | 14,646$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 3c | 13,370$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 2c | 13,032$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…7c0abacked Yes | 2c | 12,801$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 12,734$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 0c | 12,731$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +306.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…d6cdbacked Yes | 4c | 12,420$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…e4dbbacked Yes | 4c | 12,414$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +231%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 5c | 12,036$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Yes | 3c | 10,507$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,366$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc640…ccbebacked Yes | 5c | 10,289$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 2c | 10,272$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +662.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…b0ecbacked Yes | 6c | 10,103$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…d680backed Yes | 6c | 9,533$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,994$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…654cbacked Yes | 5c | 8,988$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 4c | 8,536$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.29 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…43e4backed Yes | 13c | 8,115$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…33f6backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…4385backed Yes | 5c | 7,761$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…347ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,554$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…5d22backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…26d1backed Yes | 8c | 7,092$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…26f4backed Yes | 8c | 7,076$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…62a4backed Yes | 2c | 7,058$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Yes | 3c | 7,015$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…bbaabacked Yes | 5c | 6,806$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…f8edbacked Yes | 3c | 6,295$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,287$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 4c | 6,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…be8cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,499$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 1c | 5,376$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…a6a4backed Yes | 3c | 5,168$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…702cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,124$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…04debacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…a9f9backed Yes | 2c | 4,822$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…69b7backed Yes | 6c | 4,810$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,779$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…8e47backed Yes | 3c | 4,734$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…01edbacked Yes | 2c | 4,671$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 4,642$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2beebacked Yes | 6c | 4,412$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcb…b602backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…72bcbacked Yes | 2c | 4,333$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…dc34backed Yes | 2c | 4,280$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…2030backed Yes | 2c | 4,249$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…5e9bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,248$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…3f6fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…06a2backed Yes | 2c | 4,200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,183$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…92b2backed Yes | 3c | 4,117$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…841abacked Yes | 7c | 4,100$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…32b3backed Yes | 2c | 4,093$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…407cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,984$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…47b4backed Yes | 3c | 3,912$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,900$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…08d0backed Yes | 7c | 3,758$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,741$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…cb13backed Yes | 1c | 3,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…bf59backed Yes | 1c | 3,634$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.