NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c19bd4a235b4d628780f0e57e8ee1d61e798a2f5bac73df03ea96871e9ab91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Pelicans | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 50c | 25,000$12,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,501.72 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 50c | 22,854$11,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,454.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 50c | 22,709$11,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,445.17 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans | 51c | 12,500$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 12,420$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 49c | 11,934$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.69 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Pelicans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Warriors | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 49c | 5,961$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.23 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,062$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.07 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 49c | 1,984$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.84 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 51c | 1,666$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.34 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,196$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.08 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Pelicans | 53c | 944.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 48c | 928.34$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Warriors | 49c | 693$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 674$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 50c | 601.61$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 49c | 569.19$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 48c | 520.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Warriors | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 48c | 462.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Warriors | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Warriors | 51c | 368.63$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 303$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 48c | 263$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Warriors | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Warriors | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Pelicans | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Warriors | 50c | 195.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…a1debacked Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Pelicans | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 48c | 139.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Warriors | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Warriors | 52c | 134.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 48c | 104.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…4ad7backed Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Warriors | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Pelicans | 50c | 99.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Warriors | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Warriors | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Warriors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Warriors | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Warriors | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Warriors | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Warriors | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd740…438dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 65.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 49c | 65.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Warriors | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Warriors | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Warriors | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Warriors | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…78b3backed Pelicans | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Warriors | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Warriors | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Warriors | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…35ddbacked Warriors | 49c | 50.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Warriors | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Warriors | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Warriors | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Warriors | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Warriors | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Warriors | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…7491backed Warriors | 79c | 38.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Pelicans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Warriors | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Warriors | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6baebacked Warriors | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Warriors | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Warriors | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Warriors | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Pelicans | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…09f2backed Pelicans | 52c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c10abacked Warriors | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…ab7dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 25.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Warriors | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Warriors | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. PelicansWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.