NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa394631dd09c9499674108d931da93be972428b685854c3bf0690e6682797481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Pelicans | 58c | 429,000$248,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,819.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Warriors | 42c | 337,592$141,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,803.12 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 42c | 44,100$18,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,577.12 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Pelicans | 54c | 17,159$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pelicans | 54c | 12,925$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.46 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 42c | 11,990$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.15 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 44c | 10,184$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.03 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 46c | 9,052$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Warriors | 44c | 8,422$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.9 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 42c | 8,400$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 42c | 7,992$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.19 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 56c | 6,339$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 45c | 4,459$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.33 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 55c | 4,418$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Pelicans | 54c | 3,786$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Warriors | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Warriors | 47c | 2,600$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.2 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,111$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 42c | 1,895$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.1 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Warriors | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Warriors | 42c | 1,556$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.58 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 42c | 1,280$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 999.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 42c | 954.78$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Pelicans | 57c | 877.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Pelicans | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 650$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 34c | 576.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Warriors | 44c | 555$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Warriors | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 44c | 531.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 43c | 511.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Warriors | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Pelicans | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Pelicans | 57c | 478.89$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 45c | 474.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.61 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Warriors | 47c | 417.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 23c | 402.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 42c | 397.85$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.77 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Pelicans | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Pelicans | 56c | 345.52$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 44c | 289.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Pelicans | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 45c | 275.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8688backed Pelicans | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Warriors | 49c | 251.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Pelicans | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Pelicans | 53c | 243.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…46fdbacked Pelicans | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Warriors | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Warriors | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Pelicans | 59c | 179.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Pelicans | 56c | 178.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Pelicans | 56c | 177.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Pelicans | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Pelicans | 56c | 140.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Warriors | 44c | 139.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Warriors | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Warriors | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Pelicans | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 43c | 103.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Pelicans | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Warriors | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…b0bbbacked Pelicans | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Pelicans | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Pelicans | 56c | 98.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Pelicans | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Warriors | 44c | 89.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…a1debacked Pelicans | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Warriors | 45c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked Pelicans | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…0a1cbacked Warriors | 48c | 70.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 44c | 65.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…f8e4backed Pelicans | 59c | 61.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Warriors | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Warriors | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Pelicans | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…0893backed Pelicans | 56c | 53.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pelicans | 40c | 50.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Warriors | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Warriors | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…45c5backed Pelicans | 56c | 43.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Pelicans | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Warriors | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Pelicans | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Warriors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Warriors | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed Pelicans | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed Pelicans | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Pelicans | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…45debacked Pelicans | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…ca8bbacked Pelicans | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…df34backed Pelicans | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Pelicans | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. PelicansWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.