TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2663…b0bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+94.2%+$9.69
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+32%+$14.55
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$42.56
Heat vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60.18
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$57.6
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$58.14
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$86.4
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.19
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$91.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.