Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a298a461649bcc5d0a3588d1b5bd2555d5dc0353ab458d36050290d05cec82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 746.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 17c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…33c6backed Under | 50c | 191.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…de01backed Under | 50c | 190.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…8428backed Under | 50c | 189.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…d2b3backed Under | 50c | 189.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…70e5backed Under | 50c | 188.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…b6edbacked Under | 50c | 187.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…86f5backed Under | 50c | 185.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…4233backed Under | 50c | 185.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…ee97backed Under | 50c | 184.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…7efbbacked Under | 50c | 184.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…4366backed Under | 50c | 181.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b5…ca30backed Under | 50c | 180.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…bdbdbacked Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…026dbacked Under | 50c | 177.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…5b8fbacked Under | 50c | 176.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 80c | 124.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 79c | 94.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Under | 75c | 30.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…b0bbbacked Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.