Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf8bae4c76592ec1d859b29198b5cca1373ed32faec9038df45349cd4acdf0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 3,252$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 2,826$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 665.5$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 24c | 482.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.41 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 17c | 86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 30c | 85.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Under | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 17c | 71.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.