Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ec231fd9c8d6f632a3b21171de2f5571bce7ae446d664b87b728ecba68c20d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucheon FC 1995of Incheon United FC, Bucheon FC 1995
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 56c | 3,425$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Incheon United FC | 19c | 1,156$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Incheon United FC | 70c | 1,066$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Incheon United FC | 20c | 691.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Incheon United FC | 68c | 368$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Incheon United FC | 70c | 295.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Incheon United FC | 20c | 283$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Incheon United FC | 20c | 183.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Incheon United FC | 16c | 114.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…15efbacked Incheon United FC | 19c | 61.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Incheon United FC | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.