NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdeee6322d6e9c4f8baab8c2ded7d3d9ca47f6fcc5c44ab976f9c111dd05444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 50c | 566,871$282,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,173.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 50c | 158,486$79,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,195.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bucks | 50c | 120,700$60,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,349.77 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bucks | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bucks | 49c | 72,523$35,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,536.11 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks | 51c | 42,741$21,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,747.41 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 51c | 19,218$9,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,777.19 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…92f4backed Bucks | 50c | 16,100$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,050 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Knicks | 50c | 16,100$8,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 51c | 10,002$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.42 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 9,796$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Bucks | 49c | 9,425$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.57 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…0938backed Knicks | 53c | 9,170$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 47c | 8,414$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Knicks | 57c | 7,793$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.62 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 51c | 7,783$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Knicks | 53c | 6,498$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.15 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Bucks | 52c | 6,168$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.94 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Bucks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Knicks | 53c | 5,094$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 50c | 4,255$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Knicks | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.65 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Knicks | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bucks | 46c | 3,200$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.89 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Bucks | 50c | 2,997$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Knicks | 50c | 2,258$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Knicks | 51c | 2,043$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Bucks | 49c | 2,043$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,968$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.87 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…5089backed Knicks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 1,823$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.71 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks | 48c | 1,543$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.89 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 46c | 1,195$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 50c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,093$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Bucks | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Bucks | 56c | 599.94$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Knicks | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Bucks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Bucks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Knicks | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Knicks | 49c | 385.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Bucks | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Knicks | 57c | 352.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Knicks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bucks | 49c | 304.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Knicks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 49c | 285.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…71d4backed Knicks | 52c | 263$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Knicks | 52c | 261.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Bucks | 51c | 213$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Knicks | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Knicks | 48c | 201.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Knicks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Knicks | 54c | 199.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…07bfbacked Knicks | 52c | 183$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…a80fbacked Bucks | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Knicks | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb57…4e94backed Bucks | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Knicks | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Bucks | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Bucks | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Knicks | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…d8ccbacked Bucks | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Bucks | 44c | 109.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27c…1106backed Bucks | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Bucks | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Knicks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Knicks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Knicks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Knicks | 56c | 89.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Bucks | 44c | 89.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Bucks | 50c | 88.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bucks | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Bucks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Bucks | 56c | 71.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Bucks | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Bucks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…2502backed Knicks | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Bucks | 47c | 52.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 50c | 48.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Knicks | 52c | 45.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Bucks | 48c | 43.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks | 44c | 42.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Bucks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Bucks | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)this page
- Bucks vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.