NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb022382a0f33486a8f12d3b02c2b9409ba335949eae6da9806637b4e0a069d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 913.42$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 43c | 822.85$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.91 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 40c | 649.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 567.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.92 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 523.08$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 457$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 357.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 218.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 41c | 211.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 60c | 191.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…d76dbacked Under | 61c | 96.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Under | 56c | 95.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 78.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0027…e856backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…1ed0backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 60c | 43.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…416dbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Under | 59c | 25.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5this page
- Bucks vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.