NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c6231d254b16839e276cc06c16710b4946f930029ac1b04512475949eeaa874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 127,875$64,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,799.41 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 55,602$27,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,798.98 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 50c | 28,258$14,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,128.77 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 11,923$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,898.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 50c | 7,475$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 5,109$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.74 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 4,162$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.62 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Over | 50c | 3,110$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.88 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…9e65backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,445$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,258$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 1,120$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 55c | 1,029$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.27 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 50c | 430.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 427$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 73.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 39.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 252 | 47.2%119 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 58c | 25.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5this page
- Bucks vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.