TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes67c150,000$100,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,849.9727039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No31c111,616$34,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,414.673650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No19c25,860$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.5916835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No57c12,520$7,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,136.126137.7%23 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No19c11,536$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.9912525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012310.6%13 W · 110 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No55c5,798$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.563633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes79c4,846$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.641593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No19c3,096$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8914537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…e3d8backed No21c2,816$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.361010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No14c2,611$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.585538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No20c2,580$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c2,570$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.8435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed Yes78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No22c1,918$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.921625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No20c1,800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.921822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes48c1,780$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.63141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No20c1,655$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.932035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c1,610$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes60c1,450$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5746939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No18c1,016$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.889324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed No22c1,012$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22013748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…4d23backed Yes60c999.99$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.831275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No18c999.9$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9822421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes79c907.79$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.642176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6160…1786backed Yes79c884.34$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes44c766.07$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes79c745$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.459643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No21c720$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.23935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No17c700$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12211444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Yes43c690.23$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Yes59c654.98$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.54560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb23a…a1a1backed No10c544.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes79c503.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8113860.1%83 W · 55 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No28c490.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9555045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No17c432.05$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2517048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No5c427.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.152025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Yes79c389.96$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.891741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No33c384.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.447634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7658…fc19backed Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No53c336.14$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.614544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No4c328.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes79c310.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.312860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes73c307.76$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.762867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes43c293.02$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.021747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No22c286.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No16c285.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.715238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked No18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked No10c222.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.422437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked No31c203.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.921471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd00e…8807backed No22c202.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No20c166.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8911259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc907…897bbacked Yes80c162.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c149.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7839621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0418641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed No36c144.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes72c138.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.069667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes58c134.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed No15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No25c130.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.959633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.586056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d3…3d7abacked No19c125.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.343043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No45c122.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.64946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Yes80c109.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427647.4%36 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214425%11 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2663…b0bbbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No32c88.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3522959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No42c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked No56c81.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.391952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb150…ac78backed Yes74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9213461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Yes52c76.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.756741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604a…8379backed Yes53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No21c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9178927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes65c69.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.117850%39 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes51c62.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes54c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Yes63c55.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7b0cbacked Yes73c54.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.992548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes79c50.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed No21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.