Fifa International · resolved market
Will Latvia win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3127cc69562f6bfef0270b3411c8b5fbf6f0c73605063f244580fe5b763304c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 5,248$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.85 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 3,107$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.33 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 18c | 2,211$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 21c | 2,146$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.09 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,764$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.58 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…1439backed Yes | 16c | 1,283$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 19c | 1,264$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Yes | 27c | 1,150$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 999.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 935$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…611cbacked Yes | 27c | 929.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 26c | 757$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…38cabacked Yes | 15c | 739.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 29c | 695.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 6c | 527.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 20c | 504.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…4900backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 26c | 461.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 4c | 341.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 25c | 237.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 227.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 221$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7f…76cabacked Yes | 26c | 208.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 19c | 201.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 183.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…27b1backed Yes | 20c | 150.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 18c | 131.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 20c | 127.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 112.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…7c2fbacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…5f93backed Yes | 25c | 46.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…85bfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 76c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Latvia win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Serbia vs. Latvia end in a draw?No won
- Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.