TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9088…351e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$7.16
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.04
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.42
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.15
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$22.59
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21.68
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+109.1%+$25.77
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.61
Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41.94
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+55.8%+$13.58
Will Canada win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.35
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+141.1%+$61.59
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.41
Will France win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+41.1%+$21.02
Will Israel win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+36.1%+$4.81
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+70.1%+$22.48
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.7%+$6.49
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+94.3%+$22.64
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.7%+$3.37
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.29
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.13
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.48
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.37
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58.47
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$35.95
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+135.1%+$47.35
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+55.2%+$12.33
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.86
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+40.1%+$9.48
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.21
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.6
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$146.17
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$169.46
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+102.1%+$141.11
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$83.86
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.62
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$270.1
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.52
Oregon State vs. Tulsabacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.61
Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.51
Wagner Seahawks vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+578.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+91.1%+$32.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.