Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b4107dd5d6542b2755674b4107dfb299922b0ec32f1fb629d111743332f7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 15c | 6,650$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.39 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 7c | 6,199$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,655$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 14c | 3,883$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.28 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 3,085$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.22 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 16c | 1,268$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 16c | 1,203$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 1,170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,118$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 14c | 1,056$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 16c | 778$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 15c | 774.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…f06cbacked Yes | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 16c | 530.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…9d47backed Yes | 18c | 490$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 17c | 470.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…f2f6backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 380.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 17c | 356.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 17c | 348.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 18c | 340$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 15c | 300.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 223.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 13c | 222.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 15c | 218.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 197$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe322…7ff1backed Yes | 16c | 190.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2b5cbacked Yes | 18c | 167.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 15c | 142.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked Yes | 14c | 138.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e1…5c0cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…3cd1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 124.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 15c | 116.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec7…25b4backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…7b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…6b5dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Switzerland vs. Sweden end in a draw?No won
- Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.