Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland vs. Sweden end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf18fd05d797a461fa3a75a960d43646b0fc452b86adf69d0bf54c2c8c2d79ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 23c | 1,880$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 16c | 1,095$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,034$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 952.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 29c | 661.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 22c | 559.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 365.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 19c | 310.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…84ddbacked Yes | 37c | 267.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Yes | 34c | 246.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 68c | 207.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 23c | 207.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…793fbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 77c | 102.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 25c | 101.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 68c | 90.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 23c | 86.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed Yes | 24c | 75.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Yes | 33c | 30.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b413backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 75c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…e06bbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland vs. Sweden end in a draw?this page
- Will Sweden win on 2025-11-15?No won
- Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.