Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea602d69026886a312ef89498800ec641b26f0c5d807da1b8e506a483580365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 13,788$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 19c | 10,599$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 75c | 6,175$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 66c | 4,699$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.47 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 2,974$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 2,361$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 2,246$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 55c | 1,928$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 40c | 1,633$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.37 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 759.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 16c | 615.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 580.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.77 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 412$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 399$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 76c | 230$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…256abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 16c | 228.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 140.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 133.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 19c | 128.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…aad7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 101.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…08dabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…2239backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 66c | 85.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 63c | 76.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan Wolverines | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 15c | 70.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Michigan Wolverines | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 43c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Michigan Wolverines | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0820backed Michigan Wolverines | 68c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…3cd3backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Michigan Wolverines | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsthis page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 162.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 163.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 164.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 165.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 166.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 167.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-11.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-13.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.