TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arizona Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Wildcatsof Arizona Wildcats, UCLA Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Wildcats56c11,338$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona Wildcats57c10,988$6,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,675.152,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed UCLA Bruins44c7,923$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.5755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked UCLA Bruins45c5,268$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.5212853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed UCLA Bruins47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d96…443ebacked UCLA Bruins39c2,533$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked UCLA Bruins38c2,288$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.411,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UCLA Bruins43c2,204$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.051,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Wildcats61c2,076$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.191,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Arizona Wildcats54c2,002$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.781,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed UCLA Bruins46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked UCLA Bruins45c1,900$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8557145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed UCLA Bruins46c1,715$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.7774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins45c1,474$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Wildcats53c1,296$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.072,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins41c1,075$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Arizona Wildcats72c1,040$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9610041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked UCLA Bruins46c1,026$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.224353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Wildcats53c916$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UCLA Bruins40c827.1$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.661,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…6112backed UCLA Bruins45c818.23$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UCLA Bruins36c719.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked UCLA Bruins29c568.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654010%4 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Arizona Wildcats50c552.11$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.448639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Arizona Wildcats53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd32…cb64backed Arizona Wildcats34c491.16$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…5be4backed Arizona Wildcats55c482.36$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x892b…7a23backed UCLA Bruins46c477$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins45c404.87$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.585,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Arizona Wildcats56c357.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.162657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Wildcats56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1415557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Arizona Wildcats44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.916043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCLA Bruins47c301$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.771,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Arizona Wildcats53c293.43$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5217051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb6…9aabbacked Arizona Wildcats55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed UCLA Bruins48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked UCLA Bruins44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed UCLA Bruins43c217.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.43046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Arizona Wildcats54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed UCLA Bruins47c185$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed UCLA Bruins46c184.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.742441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed UCLA Bruins44c182.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6946…8560backed Arizona Wildcats53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464c…ba26backed Arizona Wildcats68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Arizona Wildcats65c146.61$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked UCLA Bruins47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.17061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa26…f446backed Arizona Wildcats54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed UCLA Bruins49c106.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.23946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked UCLA Bruins48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Arizona Wildcats70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9efd…30babacked Arizona Wildcats55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce8f…a881backed Arizona Wildcats56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…61afbacked UCLA Bruins29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed UCLA Bruins41c65.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6137835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb439…1580backed UCLA Bruins46c65.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Arizona Wildcats77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked Arizona Wildcats60c64.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbf…6cf7backed UCLA Bruins35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…ee02backed Arizona Wildcats54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…4292backed Arizona Wildcats55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6217…59dbbacked Arizona Wildcats56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe028…9470backed UCLA Bruins48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Arizona Wildcats39c51.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4917647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbd…57f8backed UCLA Bruins46c51.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…f54ebacked Arizona Wildcats56c50.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Arizona Wildcats53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.335570.9%39 W · 16 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e7…c7d9backed UCLA Bruins46c48.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97f…3fffbacked Arizona Wildcats56c46.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640a…f359backed Arizona Wildcats57c46.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Arizona Wildcats53c46.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.813227.3%36 W · 96 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fee…3edebacked Arizona Wildcats56c43.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked UCLA Bruins36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7780…f706backed Arizona Wildcats61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8708…4159backed UCLA Bruins46c39.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb783…f4cfbacked Arizona Wildcats56c39.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…1adfbacked Arizona Wildcats56c37.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe712…4e34backed UCLA Bruins48c37.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb790…9303backed UCLA Bruins46c36.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4f…b109backed Arizona Wildcats55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…5b88backed Arizona Wildcats56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aff…d5c0backed Arizona Wildcats60c33.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed UCLA Bruins43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.077660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked UCLA Bruins48c30.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…f3d0backed UCLA Bruins46c29.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed UCLA Bruins47c26.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…a6e7backed Arizona Wildcats50c21.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed UCLA Bruins48c21.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4319055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae6…bff1backed Arizona Wildcats56c21.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5293…9507backed Arizona Wildcats56c17.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.