TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes37c25,000$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,25027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No63c24,885$15,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,207.616643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c8,632$3,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,715.6930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c4,004$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.9735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c3,583$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c3,105$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.4376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes38c2,866$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.0760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c2,321$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c2,220$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.5136349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No76c2,102$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9614246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes50c775$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.53455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c706.05$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.8934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes5c638.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0123738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c510.87$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.551,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c386$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6242352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No66c380.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.877135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c335.04$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes34c312.32$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1913419.4%26 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed No67c299.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956c…13bebacked Yes38c271.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c220.76$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8917048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12821850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c199.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9355045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Yes37c167.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9312644.4%56 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No62c158$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7845949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No62c158$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7839749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes20c156.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9713131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes40c149.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.993813.2%5 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes38c144.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No62c143.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5646453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a41…736bbacked Yes50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd8…557abacked Yes34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No62c128$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2811748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c128$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2835848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes40c106.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf30e…ad60backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No62c96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4412350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No64c96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5616831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed No63c95.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.35056%28 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No62c94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7413050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes44c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457250%36 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No61c87.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.887349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305225%13 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked No62c80.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6721840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.885545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No62c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.812945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No62c79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8910442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c76.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No62c76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2612147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No64c75.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No62c73.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.855343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No62c69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3910944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…8bb4backed Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No62c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.649547.4%45 W · 50 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No62c63.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.647945.6%36 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4035…3afcbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…7ffebacked Yes35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked No61c57.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No64c57.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.595356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No61c57.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.327160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4e…0344backed Yes37c53.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…a6e7backed No62c47.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…e072backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked No64c37.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.582437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea3…6ed0backed Yes35c32.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1975…cf72backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x385b…03c9backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda2…ffa9backed Yes63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked No52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.853043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No62c28.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5240…dde0backed No64c26.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No63c24.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0113654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8511259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No54c23.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.628145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…601abacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48528.2%24 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed No62c19.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No58c18.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.864443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No77c13.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.155747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.