Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f36d375db3f9bfa3854b168e2f472c70415d2a9a06a83bb819eb6f04a45bbeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 63c | 24,885$15,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,207.61 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 8,632$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.69 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 4,004$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.97 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 3,583$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 3,105$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.43 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 38c | 2,866$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.07 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,321$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 2,220$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.51 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 76c | 2,102$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.96 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 50c | 775$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 706.05$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.89 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 638.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 510.87$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 386$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 66c | 380.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 61c | 335.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 34c | 312.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed No | 67c | 299.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 38c | 271.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 220.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 199.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 37c | 167.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 62c | 158$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 62c | 158$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 20c | 156.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 40c | 149.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 62c | 143.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…736bbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes | 40c | 106.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…ad60backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 64c | 96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 63c | 95.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 61c | 87.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 62c | 80.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 76.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 64c | 75.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 62c | 73.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8bb4backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 62c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 62c | 63.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…3afcbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…7ffebacked Yes | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 61c | 57.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 64c | 57.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 61c | 57.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…0344backed Yes | 37c | 53.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…a6e7backed No | 62c | 47.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e072backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked No | 64c | 37.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…6ed0backed Yes | 35c | 32.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…cf72backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…03c9backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ffa9backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 62c | 28.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…dde0backed No | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 63c | 24.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 54c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…601abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed No | 62c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 58c | 18.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Canada vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Canada win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.