Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58251254b9b997796fef4d90e77da861e170398bf3b411e72b9cb8605148e048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 4,465$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.11 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 1,261$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 12c | 701.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 2c | 699.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 659.44$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 653.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Yes | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 6c | 167.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077d…bdc8backed Yes | 9c | 160.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…c78abacked Yes | 10c | 150.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2166…72fcbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 70c | 137.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 117.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…89bbbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 26c | 95.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…140ebacked No | 72c | 76.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 66.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 73c | 61.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 71c | 40.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…dde0backed No | 70c | 33.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 61c | 30.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked No | 70c | 27.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 78c | 27.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 18.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed No | 74c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Canada vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.