TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No59c19,405$11,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,956.183650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes41c11,719$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,802.0323622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes4c10,590$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.8928731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c6,822$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20013953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes43c2,815$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.722556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c2,399$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.6976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c2,124$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Yes41c1,832$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.25119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-86.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No55c1,664$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.87247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No75c1,365$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.437354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No61c1,144$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2617747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed No61c909.76$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Yes4c794.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes24c772.2$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18836349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes34c770.04$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.818538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No58c742.6$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.899324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes39c645.66$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8123738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No59c632.15$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes39c628.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes42c619$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9814040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes17c599.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No60c443.97$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7317048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef79…d251backed Yes40c370$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes46c299.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes46c293.83$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.164447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No58c278.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1510452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No57c276$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6812047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4f7…314abacked Yes40c255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868e…f152backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes40c249.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332b…793fbacked Yes42c238.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes40c212.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes42c204.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa96…018dbacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes44c199.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.683119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x855d…349fbacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c7…e112backed Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No62c151.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.653641.7%15 W · 21 L-7.9wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No66c140$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7625954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…6628backed Yes40c132$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes40c124.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c117.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c115.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.691,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c110.14$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes53c105.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked No60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.054332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes14c103.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No58c103$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2611646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408219.5%16 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No60c100.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.772934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712829.7%38 W · 90 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427850%39 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122737%10 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No59c99.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.993476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3299…a703backed Yes42c97.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405225%13 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b8a…9a3bbacked Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No77c92.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1440355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes12c89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes20c85.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+117.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3313843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes40c76.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.623622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No52c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5446453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No52c69.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2139749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1482…622dbacked Yes48c66.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11de…8985backed No60c64.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.842128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No62c62.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.068145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed No61c60.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.495056%28 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked No60c56.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6211748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No59c54.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.527160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe141…ea2dbacked Yes41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes42c49.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.717138%27 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No57c49.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0612945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350d…cf4cbacked Yes42c48.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6513050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed No61c44.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.492138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked No60c43.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No48c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3511259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.