TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe141…ea2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$57.87
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$9.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58.98
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$121.82
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Ulanbekov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$22.91
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Baylor Bears vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+57.9%+$32.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.