Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e840dc7abaf34c44b48fa1c3738da95d31ef7a8a43abd32d8bd28ab05748d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 10,330$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.86 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 60c | 5,719$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 80c | 4,193$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.59 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 61c | 3,928$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 3,266$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 7c | 1,450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 900$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 683.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 39c | 313$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…6863backed Yes | 79c | 284.52$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed No | 38c | 245.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 55c | 222.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 26c | 102.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 40c | 96.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…897bbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…6439backed Yes | 62c | 80.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x053a…ee8cbacked Yes | 80c | 30.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 40c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…dd08backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…2988backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…6c7fbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…ea2dbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?No won
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.