TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0716…6c7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.9%+$9.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+67.6%+$12.84
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.6%+$7.74
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+130.9%+$19.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+52.7%+$10.54
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+70%+$8.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+206%+$22.66
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$6.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$18.79
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$16.92
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+27.1%+$4.07
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$8.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+67.7%+$8.13
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$11.01
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+106.4%+$21.28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$4.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$4.47
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.4%+$8.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.6%+$3.84
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+73.6%+$18.41
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$10.72
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$10.82
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$25.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.