TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$830,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$934,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes70c121,600$85,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,146.839146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No17c120,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00010543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No15c111,568$16,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,812.461,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes65c55,209$35,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,356.197060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No38c47,025$17,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,869.338241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No41c45,053$18,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,597.938259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes63c42,626$26,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,886.833056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No38c40,500$15,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,390837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes62c37,268$23,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,161.7117048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No38c33,884$12,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,707.6617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No37c26,999$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,989.62025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes42c23,764$9,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,785.937042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes61c22,556$13,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,854.9616136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No33c21,476$7,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,163.2714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No42c21,416$9,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,033.7636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes63c20,182$12,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,471.942470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes63c19,296$12,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,141.5212848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No38c14,205$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.9412536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes52c13,666$7,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.712152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbadd…2564backed Yes63c12,890$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.14520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b7…963abacked Yes64c10,969$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No37c10,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.995040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.949857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c9,707$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.4339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c7,975$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.6922147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No30c7,607$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.195529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No37c7,000$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5907052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No43c6,804$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.320462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes45c6,706$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c6,248$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.11,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes65c6,035$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No55c5,985$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.7317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes62c5,916$3,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.131855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…df38backed Yes62c5,700$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes62c5,639$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.9728543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No5c5,362$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.094555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No54c5,000$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.029043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No37c4,908$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No38c4,461$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.998241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes63c4,398$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.3712036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No38c4,211$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No38c3,170$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.5760%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No37c3,084$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.294242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Yes62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11010850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked Yes63c2,906$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.352259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a4…229ebacked No38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes62c2,504$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.082951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes64c2,266$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.634022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes63c2,209$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.285630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked No44c2,136$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No54c2,051$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.3438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7604100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes42c2,000$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes55c1,985$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.3810931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8997…c3bdbacked Yes62c1,694$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c1,678$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes55c1,647$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.63860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No38c1,590$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.29341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes63c1,588$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.651752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.36100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes63c1,558$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.175349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes64c1,416$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes63c1,360$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.331741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes64c1,308$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.253748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes41c1,297$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.973537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes59c1,222$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.286735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No37c1,215$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4446653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4661…9508backed No39c1,154$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No43c1,150$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5414044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0971…83abbacked Yes43c1,142$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes63c1,080$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.84542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No37c1,021$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes62c999.98$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.993053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No38c954$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.523154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes63c891.79$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.964151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes68c871.49$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3120343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No37c871.41$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.994827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes51c831.03$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.034242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.453971.8%28 W · 11 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No37c805.2$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.921414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-63.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes62c801.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.331283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3357…42fabacked Yes61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No37c799.97$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes63c793.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.771030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes63c785.71$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.713351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaed…5e81backed Yes64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No40c721$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7924963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No45c714$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.874445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes63c660.84$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No37c613.37$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes63c573.4$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.43751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.