Champions League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab6984830a11b06e97b46598fc302921952a95e2ec35e3fb60ded8f1624f88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 2,139$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 1,471$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 19c | 624.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 522.58$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…cde5backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 5c | 474.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 28c | 355.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 76c | 272.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3d12backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…5cccbacked Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 79c | 114.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…a9d7backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +412.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…99ddbacked Yes | 21c | 56.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1618…a456backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 80c | 30.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.