Champions League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc938e944f8594fd68984f3eb54416f6cf293927aeec63950cbd7f697dabf8205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 19c | 5,921$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 19c | 4,241$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…5194backed Yes | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,391$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.75 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,050$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 80c | 1,940$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.95 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 21c | 1,571$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.47 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 20c | 1,378$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 19c | 1,284$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,219$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 8c | 1,082$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 800$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 13c | 699.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 657.96$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 19c | 657.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 18c | 552.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…cde5backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 20c | 510.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 20c | 500.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7d07backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 19c | 479.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 31c | 368.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc43…f930backed Yes | 19c | 368.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 13c | 350$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 308.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…0f55backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 17c | 299.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 75c | 254.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 18c | 233$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…34bebacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…3576backed Yes | 19c | 185.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…5a33backed Yes | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…3f3fbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 19c | 155$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 18c | 147$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Yes | 28c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Yes | 17c | 121.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…97fcbacked Yes | 19c | 121.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…a9d7backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +412.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…c36abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…929cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…2f34backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3d12backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…fccfbacked Yes | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 19c | 83.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…409abacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 15c | 77.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a34…cbd4backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…73f2backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…ed86backed Yes | 28c | 70.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 19c | 69.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed No | 69c | 60.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…9d69backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…feccbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Yes | 36c | 28.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.