TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc43…f930

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$355.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$60.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.5%+$23.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$26.39
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$28.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.84
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+179.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.