TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed No56c31,397$17,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,814.6716651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes45c26,624$11,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,998.082958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c24,671$10,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,818.131,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes43c23,586$10,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,142.029746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c14,802$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,734.871,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes46c10,517$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8381931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c10,169$7,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.544,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No57c9,783$5,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,206.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c7,794$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.2514652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c7,660$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458.342,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No57c5,845$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.4413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No57c5,803$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.789749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes30c5,170$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.6945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c4,558$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.9949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c4,361$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes27c3,795$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.5370%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes43c3,410$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.3990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No55c3,156$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.2215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes11c3,084$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.827859%46 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes27c2,933$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.6710053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No57c2,923$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.7214158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c2,691$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b1…8063backed Yes55c2,642$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c2,641$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3695332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes2c2,438$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No50c2,436$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No51c2,287$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.84040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No51c2,222$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.7824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.977061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No50c1,997$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.717343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes45c1,915$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2814254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes44c1,913$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.9310838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes47c1,895$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes43c1,703$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.2927752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No57c1,702$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.984052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.153053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No55c1,354$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes43c1,346$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.999061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,322$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes22c1,315$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed No66c1,202$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.831957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes43c1,166$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.172725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes26c1,104$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d43…ae44backed Yes26c1,103$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.681010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.29131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes44c1,097$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6334428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes9c1,074$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6696445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No57c1,072$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.0567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes46c1,056$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes14c1,043$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.054334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No57c1,009$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2612157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56014553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9117062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9114459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No77c916.57$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c876.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.0214355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.462948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes11c851.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.713141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c846.97$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.681,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c828.22$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0828824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked No57c794.44$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.269150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No57c779.36$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1212757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c778.88$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7114354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No55c778.4$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf3…f1bcbacked Yes13c757.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Yes14c751.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.161861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c682.52$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…3ebfbacked Yes43c644.19$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2771428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes15c632.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.89329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c620.27$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c615.92$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.096,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No57c614.03$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.035056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No55c612.67$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No74c605.19$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3545142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Yes15c591.03$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No54c555.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.233253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Yes43c546.67$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes24c545.24$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.633348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c530.48$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6322458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c509.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.891,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7748…8befbacked No74c492.2$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c487.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes46c479.74$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.787451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes18c475.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8910232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No66c472.64$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.423661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No56c464.86$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5414658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes45c443$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3512549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc3…d611backed No51c441.62$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c413.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No57c409.16$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9417959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No57c409.16$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18446551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes48c395.52$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.891546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes46c393.81$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.152352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.