TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes1c12,345$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c9,726$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c8,523$5,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No75c7,499$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.843548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c6,616$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No76c5,643$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.44261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…9a95backed Yes5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c3,942$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.964,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c2,800$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.9355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes25c2,368$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No74c1,874$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.191376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes52c1,869$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.181637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c1,548$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.11,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes60c1,508$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes26c1,103$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.684744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No70c1,098$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.291163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3a…0ec0backed Yes25c1,036$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No43c1,035$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.734628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes34c1,010$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.266526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c908.4$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes53c852.62$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.895151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c778.24$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.781,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No38c770.23$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.718065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes25c764$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19170%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes25c573$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.254734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes63c514.61$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.22035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes44c514.49$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes26c477.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2310838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No74c438.38$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.987061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes55c406.89$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.792951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb74…23ccbacked Yes53c397.7$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Yes53c386.89$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.051776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.564129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.564431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.568831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes6c359.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4828824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No45c290.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.136462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c285.35$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes16c284.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5510232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c269.37$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes28c260.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.885648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes12c236.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.427522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes24c233.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes24c216.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.236648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes26c205.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.928757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c205.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.959654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No67c200.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8915249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes24c199.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Yes60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.122748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes50c194.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.995149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No77c186.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9918748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes52c186.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.967963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.784959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes20c180.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2280%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes51c177.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3119244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb63d…756ebacked Yes25c175.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes62c174.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.347736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c171.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.858666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Yes58c167.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c165.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4316233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Yes15c156.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.731931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68e…85e5backed Yes63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes52c151.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes26c150.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.268122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x138e…3305backed Yes55c150.2$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.225022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.224734%16 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes23c144.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.414639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c136.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…726bbacked Yes26c133.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No40c129.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.994835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No38c129.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4614055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No39c127.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.653672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c126.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed Yes60c117.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes25c116.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81c6…1110backed Yes25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b5…8d41backed Yes21c113.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes36c111.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.051250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6712233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes51c108.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.328445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes53c106.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.471060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes14c101.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes18c101$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.187335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.517244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No74c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9913554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes24c99.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.864955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked No50c98.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Yes26c98.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.591520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.524156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes26c95.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb161…9132backed Yes30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.741650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.