TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes28c31,605$8,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,755.6916040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.993548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes60c19,673$11,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,869.185848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c17,578$7,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,907.126,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c12,740$9,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,182.651,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No20c12,154$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c11,385$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,055.811,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c10,267$6,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.832,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No70c9,722$6,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,805.262560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c8,380$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.451,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c6,498$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.884,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No70c5,522$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No70c4,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8006448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c4,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.996262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.996550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No72c3,983$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.43650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes80c2,535$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.383548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No40c2,291$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.383125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No34c2,228$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.569373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c2,214$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.962,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c2,206$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.3190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No68c2,173$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.59347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No31c2,142$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.234428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c2,091$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.1655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Yes23c2,011$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.24728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4407061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c1,970$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c1,932$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.6553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes26c1,915$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.852835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No72c1,855$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.9320448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No78c1,629$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No35c1,578$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.210378.6%81 W · 22 L+22.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+53.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes71c1,569$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.4226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No46c1,361$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No74c1,200$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8827556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No35c1,167$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.328375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes80c1,122$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c1,085$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1826444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d43…ae44backed Yes19c1,021$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.671010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes79c1,011$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No65c999.97$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.984860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c999.94$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No69c964.92$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.7939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No39c963.4$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.732924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes32c959.2$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.261435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c953.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No69c950.96$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.1627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c907.73$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.561,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No70c862.76$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c768.21$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7175542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No71c727.95$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.852740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c655.74$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.432,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes30c638.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.073545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c632.31$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6618253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes29c615.89$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.288345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes32c599.5$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No73c590.33$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.124369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb63d…756ebacked Yes28c512.57$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes47c507.91$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9815249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes29c498.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.754360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes48c497.22$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.559843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes31c488$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.728122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No73c471.68$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.332552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes30c453.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1936845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c449.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9914654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Yes47c449.25$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.722642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes67c440.89$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.895151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c416.26$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes37c403.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9425225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No72c393.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.196966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes32c392.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.075757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes27c370.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.367427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes77c362.09$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8377236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No68c360.89$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes80c355.24$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3818842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c347$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c347$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.841,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c346.57$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.911,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes28c345.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.936225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No41c340.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.658757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c337.52$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked No69c322.45$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4911139.6%44 W · 67 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe622…f43fbacked No36c320.53$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed No10c315.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No26c308.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.024835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21669651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…2bc1backed No38c298.44$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.951010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-74.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes32c298.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.813847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No38c295.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3211645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80e8…dc9abacked Yes61c291.38$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes34c282.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed No71c276.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.52650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No67c266.51$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.043345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ab…e7b6backed Yes54c260.61$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.833650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes27c257.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68e…85e5backed Yes80c247.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Yes80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.