Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152cf0adf89d50b9764bd2dc8aa50b7e66c49e96f49bc6e1e8224d7fd91a7179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 11,440$6,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.54 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 44c | 10,647$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.94 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 24c | 9,113$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.83 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 57c | 5,694$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 5,293$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.56 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 5,185$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 4,309$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.68 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 2,621$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 2,464$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.81 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 56c | 2,168$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 1,700$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 1,199$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.98 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 47c | 1,065$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.53 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,062$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.7 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 57c | 999.98$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 860.03$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.49 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed No | 45c | 758.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked No | 80c | 663.74$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 34c | 625.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 44c | 589$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.84 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 56c | 582$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 57c | 573.23$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 568.05$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…8c92backed Yes | 50c | 564.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 40c | 550$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 45c | 517$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 19c | 516.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 55c | 507.19$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 24c | 494.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked No | 44c | 456$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…547ebacked No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 415.21$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 75c | 406.66$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 39c | 402.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 44c | 399.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 26c | 380.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 56c | 357.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 43c | 310.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 34c | 295.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 44c | 284.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 283.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 35c | 277.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a631backed Yes | 46c | 269.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 64c | 257.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 56c | 257.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 20c | 251.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 40c | 250$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 18c | 225.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 49c | 205.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 56c | 198.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 191.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5160backed Yes | 42c | 183.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…c97cbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 57c | 172.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Yes | 49c | 171.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 21c | 168.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 78c | 159.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 154.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.