Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2ad57339020460ab65093d6a72686beb4c002f96289642bb7c13dab46794a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 64c | 35,864$22,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,910.88 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 26,386$18,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,105.15 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 39c | 25,844$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 65c | 15,355$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.22 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 14,176$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Yes | 14c | 13,165$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 11,434$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.97 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 39c | 9,508$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 65c | 6,221$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 66c | 5,045$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.45 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 63c | 4,750$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.88 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.25 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 4,539$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 66c | 3,612$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.11 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 30c | 3,350$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,083$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,054$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.04 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 3,032$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.03 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 35c | 2,862$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 37c | 2,737$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 65c | 2,706$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.32 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 35c | 2,588$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,106$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.05 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 66c | 2,024$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 38c | 1,964$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 36c | 1,647$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 61c | 1,624$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.2 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,607$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 33c | 1,600$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 27c | 1,544$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.11 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 38c | 1,455$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.48 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 1,410$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.96 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 18c | 1,392$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 1,311$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.85 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 23c | 1,301$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 1c | 1,215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…00c9backed Yes | 38c | 1,184$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed No | 66c | 1,028$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 66c | 1,020$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 66c | 991.25$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 31c | 968.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 18c | 953.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 8c | 899.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 36c | 879.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…9e6dbacked Yes | 35c | 857.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 33c | 852.86$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 35c | 786.45$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 36c | 754.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.48 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 39c | 706.8$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.76 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 666.79$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 6c | 658.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 634$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes | 34c | 608.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 34c | 600.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 65c | 599.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 39c | 599.06$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 38c | 595.52$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 577.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Yes | 34c | 547.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 17c | 496.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed No | 65c | 493.85$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 39c | 485.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 481.82$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 39c | 471.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked No | 66c | 421$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 65c | 407.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed No | 66c | 396.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 18c | 392.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 8c | 386.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 39c | 380.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 366.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 39c | 350$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 38c | 346$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 26c | 344.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 331.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 39c | 330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 312.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.