TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64b5…7543backed Yes18c15,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,349.8914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c13,526$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.891,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes16c12,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50026445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes21c5,000$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9754238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No80c4,437$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.8638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes17c4,400$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.9719028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes19c4,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c3,538$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.9359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c3,050$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes17c2,200$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8264334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6008938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c1,681$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.2238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504c…b5fdbacked Yes17c1,264$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes10c1,249$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.643938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Yes19c1,229$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.492025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes17c1,200$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9961030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked No73c1,159$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No35c1,047$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80011438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes18c999.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.447631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No2c915.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6615438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c891.05$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6943333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes65c770.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.431283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No54c750$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40359136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes19c728.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.966248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Yes16c700$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5881030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+96.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No28c649.92$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.836943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Yes20c639.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.922240.9%9 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick20cpaid+120.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No4c637.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.444526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked No12c628.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.452015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes19c624.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50612644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes9c620$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.8608.3%5 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes21c600$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47623947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes19c599.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.63151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes4c529.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.3134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No11c512.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.499233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes18c505$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7313931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3957146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003641.7%15 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+78.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4923…7c09backed Yes4c498$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.081100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes21c482.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.613927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes17c472$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.310648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Yes64c470.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes18c442.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.517946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No43c424$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.351216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-71.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed No19c410.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+61.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked No33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes17c398$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.342941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Yes7c325.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.312334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes19c303.12$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5316047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes19c300.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0214650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2436048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c281$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes10c280.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.265228.8%15 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes54c278.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c267.64$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xaaa3…b307backed Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+105.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x68ab…8d7cbacked Yes16c225$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes19c200.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0513146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16614332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1584872.9%35 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes18c199.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.493360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+62.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes16c180$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.822356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes71c175.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.066841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No41c144$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes21c140$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6850%4 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+206.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes22c133.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.892040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes16c128$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.524139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054528.9%13 W · 32 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Yes20c120$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92ea…bdbdbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+149.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed No11c102.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3902…43f8backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e1…2a56backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.511750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdede…8ad2backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+248.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6caa…3237backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No53c97.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.86141%25 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes16c94.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.671729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes17c89.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.113063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes20c75.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7713759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Yes19c74.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes19c74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.945534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d91…adb6backed Yes20c73.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes44c73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c72.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8216327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes22c70$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.429142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes18c66.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.524542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc43…f930backed Yes64c65.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.731650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4f…2346backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.