TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaider

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Svitolinaof Svitolina, Shnaider
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda35…ff0ebacked Shnaider37c18,376$6,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,842.5759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Svitolina76c6,116$4,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.1525764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Svitolina65c5,460$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.95228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Svitolina65c5,055$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.185955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Shnaider13c4,271$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.992227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Shnaider38c3,733$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.433256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Shnaider35c3,429$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Svitolina76c3,240$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Svitolina66c3,080$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.274266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Shnaider37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Shnaider36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Svitolina67c2,398$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.081,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Shnaider45c2,233$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Svitolina68c1,611$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.013,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Shnaider10c1,572$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.462,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Shnaider13c1,552$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7798240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Svitolina66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.111233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shnaider11c1,430$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.788,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shnaider25c1,427$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.752,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Shnaider35c1,364$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.251,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Svitolina64c1,267$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.969546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Shnaider32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Shnaider35c883.71$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.214028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shnaider34c881.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Svitolina64c850$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30611843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Shnaider34c836.49$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6419023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Svitolina66c760.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.826158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shnaider21c738.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.882,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Svitolina73c738$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.191,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Svitolina71c728.49$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6118551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Shnaider14c723.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2128726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Shnaider14c665.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9088446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Shnaider35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Svitolina77c558.09$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.221,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Shnaider10c537$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.527724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Shnaider17c509.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8646030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Svitolina65c501.55$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5412861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Svitolina65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Svitolina75c494.37$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.375860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Svitolina74c475.16$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6426244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Svitolina64c469.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.795860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Svitolina64c469$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Svitolina74c445.57$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.232,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Shnaider36c422.22$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Shnaider36c416.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8616340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Svitolina62c399.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.961844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Shnaider5c374.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.844423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Svitolina77c361$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.791,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Svitolina74c345.09$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.139744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Svitolina68c333.82$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.829955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Svitolina66c324.24$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2410043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Svitolina65c319.71$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Shnaider20c315.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.462,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Svitolina75c313.73$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3318644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Svitolina65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Svitolina65c306.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4158753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Svitolina66c304.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5836968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Shnaider8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Svitolina64c284.85$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7618957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Shnaider36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Shnaider36c276.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc6c…f972backed Shnaider46c265.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.19560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Svitolina65c263.03$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.062,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shnaider32c239.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.937,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Svitolina64c224.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814153.7%22 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f25…8c36backed Svitolina68c213.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.245373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Svitolina66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6827058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Shnaider29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Shnaider34c199.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.994032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf881…f259backed Svitolina77c193.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.511968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Svitolina72c191.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Svitolina64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Svitolina66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Svitolina66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5229661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shnaider35c149.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Shnaider34c138.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.351811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Shnaider35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Svitolina72c115.73$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3611122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Shnaider47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Svitolina66c104.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5210962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Shnaider14c100.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7214947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Shnaider35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Shnaider37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Svitolina66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3415751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Svitolina62c93.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5520431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Shnaider22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Svitolina71c89.45$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.621650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c9…e904backed Shnaider14c82.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shnaider29c78.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Svitolina65c76.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.894551.1%23 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Svitolina66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7610668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shnaider24c75.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Shnaider35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.255425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Svitolina68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5374961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Shnaider35c72.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.472626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Shnaider35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Shnaider36c65.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Svitolina72c65.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2419043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Svitolina73c64.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.163935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5338…f428backed Svitolina66c62.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.123458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.