Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Shnaider
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4f2b1f66c7d0b41773acad59d5b7b62ab67b4b6aa77b3a45049c831bdf20d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Shnaider
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shnaider | 13c | 206.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Shnaider | 61c | 164.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Svitolina | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Svitolina | 46c | 79.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Shnaider | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Shnaider | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Svitolina | 65c | 25.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Svitolina | 71c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Shnaiderthis page
- Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana ShnaiderSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.