La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa497879fa6951974311092a53f5959cd92fb68d076328f052195916ffef732da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 40,499$17,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,317.42 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 44c | 8,362$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.16 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 32c | 6,498$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked No | 43c | 5,641$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 74c | 3,829$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.35 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 3,368$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.3 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…e133backed Yes | 57c | 3,328$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,355$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 43c | 1,893$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.38 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,824$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 58c | 1,090$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.8 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.68 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 73c | 994.93$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.63 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Yes | 74c | 859$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 58c | 854.93$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Yes | 56c | 820$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked No | 42c | 819.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 57c | 782.24$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 42c | 699.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 58c | 687.24$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 58c | 634.84$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 622$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 515.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 499.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed No | 8c | 434$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 57c | 429.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…567cbacked No | 43c | 414.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…a03ebacked Yes | 58c | 402.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 58c | 372.41$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea6…a170backed Yes | 58c | 363.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 56c | 333.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 328.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 58c | 320.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 30c | 269.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 74c | 269$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 58c | 259.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 58c | 259.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 43c | 250.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 58c | 214.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 205.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 58c | 201.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 58c | 196.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 57c | 194.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…6b55backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…27b1backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…fe62backed Yes | 57c | 171.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 43c | 169.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 42c | 155.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 137.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 136.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked No | 43c | 127.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes | 67c | 121.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…109cbacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Yes | 58c | 108.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…03b8backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 58c | 100.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…1b85backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 58c | 95.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…94f8backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…772fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…9dfebacked Yes | 57c | 83.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 69c | 77.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.