TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No67c6,994$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.9810849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes33c4,794$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.8817833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c2,550$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No64c2,040$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.5931655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes62c2,018$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.553450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes67c1,953$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.995853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No66c1,830$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.511155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes42c1,777$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.2427235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c1,621$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes36c1,573$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.710455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes33c1,498$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.2925329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.064637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No64c1,311$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.0411162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No68c1,250$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8504168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No66c1,140$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.49943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6405246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes32c999.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.629450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No65c924.62$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.2435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No37c834.24$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6715049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c801.37$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.384,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No40c750.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes11c710.45$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40821656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No61c598$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c563.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.4268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.568137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.568736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No25c541.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1718259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No63c479.23$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.041,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c458.82$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8224630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed Yes36c370.46$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.091650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes31c326.77$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.775930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes34c300.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes34c257$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No39c256.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Yes33c249.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+78.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No63c222.45$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2714854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006729.9%20 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes36c194$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1620039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No38c190$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.23724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes37c174.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11011828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes39c169.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.419263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes63c158.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1dd…a008backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes40c140.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.122857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.626247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No57c138.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes72c138.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No62c134.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.662441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c118.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6325545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x463c…7d78backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No62c108$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.961,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No67c105.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7129458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes29c100.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.35850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes34c93.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No64c92.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…a767backed Yes38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Yes16c90$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes39c83.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1510733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3712…fbc6backed Yes34c82.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.023033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9711946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No32c80.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba16…d89abacked Yes36c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15cd…0453backed Yes61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9f…f1f6backed Yes65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…2c08backed No63c66.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…c829backed No65c64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes32c63.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6073…d82fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3afa…99b0backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.639055.6%50 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7077…e94dbacked No68c51.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54928.6%14 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6527…6c04backed No67c41.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7431…0c50backed No65c39.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x897b…151ebacked Yes62c37.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140f…5022backed No68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…be50backed No63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8127…2001backed No65c36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.