Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56e1fe57a12896eba18552998ac4d11dbb7a2b2b1f986e3fcc29f9eee4c3292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 61c | 14,869$9,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked No | 60c | 12,244$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 60c | 7,009$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 6,449$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.86 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 43c | 4,645$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 39c | 4,220$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.8 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 36c | 3,938$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.11 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 3,556$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.63 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 65c | 3,317$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.86 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed No | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 34c | 3,005$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 35c | 2,780$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.38 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 62c | 2,555$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.39 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 2,146$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,136$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.4 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 61c | 2,022$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.58 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 38c | 1,830$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 38c | 1,829$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.56 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 37c | 1,637$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.65 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,467$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 61c | 1,400$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.98 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,292$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,109$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 1,073$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 37c | 1,063$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.23 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 41c | 950$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 21c | 879.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 22c | 811.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 37c | 774$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…fdedbacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 699.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 65c | 641.63$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.89 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 64c | 637.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 63c | 559$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 37c | 540.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 28c | 501$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…1743backed Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 450.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 63c | 448.92$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 63c | 443.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 420.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 63c | 324.59$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 61c | 323.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 38c | 317.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 77c | 299$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 25c | 274.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 62c | 261.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 62c | 259.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 36c | 250.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 40c | 224.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed No | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 217.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 63c | 175.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 35c | 170.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 35c | 163.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 37c | 156.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bfe5backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 36c | 137.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…21dabacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 37c | 133.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 40c | 124.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 42c | 119.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 40c | 114.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 36c | 113.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 112.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 63c | 111.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 109.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 36c | 105.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…6c04backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…7f7bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e29…6477backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.