TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No64c35,409$22,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,835.898241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…257cbacked Yes39c22,093$8,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,525.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No62c15,707$9,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,030.7714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes36c12,138$4,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,373.673545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No62c10,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes37c9,079$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.874143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes37c7,103$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.165066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes37c6,345$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.649146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c5,899$3,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.821,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes36c5,315$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No63c4,942$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.1810051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No63c4,296$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.46653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c4,124$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.611,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No70c3,951$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.54949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes40c3,829$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.493256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c3,040$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.2538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.998938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No63c2,035$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.858151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb0…cde5backed Yes37c1,859$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No63c1,718$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.4739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c1,675$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6322147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd063…e5b5backed Yes37c1,602$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9b…1fb3backed Yes38c1,405$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.831338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes37c1,258$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.371216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes37c1,088$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.746443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c1,072$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb37…2bf1backed Yes17c999.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes19c999$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.894623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes4c989$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.062642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x847c…efbcbacked Yes36c899.9$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes37c896$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8816136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes37c835.14$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes38c789.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes38c784.78$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes26c687.38$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No62c677$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2611950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Yes36c650$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes37c599$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.631735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c589.38$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes27c558$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6825450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No73c550.07$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9714044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c460.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2112546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes36c458.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…686cbacked Yes37c445.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.79850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes37c402.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes14c348.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.741747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…8883backed Yes39c344.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No65c309.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.426170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes36c308.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.21735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes37c299.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.947744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a7…0464backed Yes38c293.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes37c285.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.232138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes37c280.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.927456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No62c280$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c275.83$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes37c270.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes37c268.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2171…924bbacked Yes37c267.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Yes38c263.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005062%31 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes37c262.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0418334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Yes39c258.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c243.53$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes36c221.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.898626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes38c204.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes37c190.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.34119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c77…276abacked Yes35c184.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ba…123bbacked Yes36c182.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes23c176.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Yes36c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed No64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes36c144.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.412854.7%70 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes35c142.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.041050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503426.5%9 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x43c8…b5a0backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…e671backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ec…0c17backed Yes37c135.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.212272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df8…5332backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1592…8959backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc4…fbb3backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f57…0319backed Yes37c133.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…f8e2backed Yes38c132.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.