TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes38c35,000$13,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,30010443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No62c34,300$21,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,033.843262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes38c9,532$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.5414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No30c7,128$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.6838935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c6,860$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.011,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c5,225$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.811,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes72c3,024$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.124949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes35c2,916$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5739842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes74c1,962$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.125538.2%21 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+176.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ea…3d5cbacked Yes39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c1,750$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes35c1,700$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60219028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes69c1,443$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe64…b3a7backed No62c1,288$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes39c1,251$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.669336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes35c933.05$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.576653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes78c820.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…da3ebacked Yes39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ea…f9bdbacked No62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+435.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No63c716$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.883545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked No43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No60c658.42$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3620462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes57c622$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.544045%18 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6a…2d4abacked No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No62c540.47$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3210051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No60c522.47$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7618250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes40c504.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…da55backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+310.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x975e…60f7backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No62c462$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.565100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x603a…fa61backed No62c451.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes62c427.55$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1435860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c427.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No61c410$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.924047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No32c356.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.296735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10519344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…7863backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…f21ebacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes43c248.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes35c225.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0225450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes38c222$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.368626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes37c199.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.996747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No63c191.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes57c174.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb86…1dc5backed No62c161.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No63c157.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.865757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cee…85dabacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No63c150.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Yes35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.75825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No62c111.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.567953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes63c103.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3725659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.242759.3%16 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed Yes38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4380…f900backed Yes65c85.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d3…bd9dbacked Yes72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No22c81.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7721745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes37c80.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed No39c76.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.74226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0e3…37fabacked No64c69.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.941540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed No24c69.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e1…9364backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5626…0fe6backed No63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3011backed Yes38c61.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes80c58.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.84366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes38c52.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd46…e7d3backed No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes39c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1129142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed No62c46.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.832360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff26…b20dbacked Yes39c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3f…a633backed Yes70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…7ea8backed Yes38c42.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked No62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7594…e26fbacked No44c36.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d8…7676backed No63c34.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x535a…8b84backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc20b…ba2fbacked Yes72c30.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.151275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6d…a980backed No62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.