Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa07147f49bc8266b37bafb4c9d1ee96b759c24ebb9736b8d2371768bf49fbdf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 50c | 7,685$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.38 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 50c | 6,281$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.13 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.96 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 3,580$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.23 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,429$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.41 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 26c | 2,300$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,716$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.57 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 1,683$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.42 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,096$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 705.21$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.24 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 26c | 436.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 393.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 12c | 332$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…6840backed Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 54c | 209.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 195$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 186.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 26c | 141.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 28c | 136.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 123.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 88.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…d5b8backed No | 74c | 67.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?No won
- Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.